How To Pick Winners In Sports Betting
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10 Tips on How to Make Winning NBA Basketball Picks
Professional basketball has a six-month season where each of 30 teams plays 82 games. That means there’s a lot of opportunity for the sports bettor to make NBA picks each and every week. This isn’t like the NFL, which plays a fairly limited number of games. Thus, the bettor who focuses on pro basketball has to be ready to hit the ground running when the season starts. You really need to know your stuff so that you can discern what odds offer you value and are a good bet. Here are ten tips to help you make winning NBA picks.
Preseason homework—do it. Before the season ever begins read as much as you can and then some about the league, each team, players and coaches. Look at the teams that dominated last season and also those that had breakout years. Will they do the same last year? What about last year’s non playoff teams that bettors normally don’t pay as much attention to? Are they better, worse or the same?
Matchups are very important and these need to be addressed for every game that you bet. You may find a spread that you really like but after crunching some numbers you realize it’s actually a bad bet. Don’t bet based on what you already know about a team. Be sure to wager based on the latest information.
Start early. That means you should consider overnight lines at night when they are first set. These can be relatively soft and although betting limits are lower at night, they are still high enough for most sports bettors. They are low because books know the spreads are not as rock solid as they need to be. The overnight spreads are out there to generate action and interest. The closer you get to game time, the tougher the NBA betting line is to beat.
Do not discount top defenses, especially in the first half of the season. When offenses are struggling out of the gate they can keep totals down and they can win close games. Most teams can score in the NBA but not all can stop other clubs from scoring. Tight spreads favor such teams.
How To Win Big With Betting
During the season look for that great team that was blown out the night before by one of the worst teams in the league. Chances are they are going to come out and try to annihilate their next opponent. And there is a good chance they will do just that.
Also, look for that topnotch team on a road trip that has won two straight in three days and is about to play it’s third game in four days. They could be prime for an upset. They’re tired, feeling sure of themselves and want to get home.
Betting on the second-half of a NBA game can turn out to be a lucrative venture. In second-half wagering you are putting money on the team that you think will post more points in those final two quarters. Often it’s the team that’s behind. This is especially true if the club that’s losing is a good one that has been underachieving in the first half. Also, a great team that has a huge lead will often let down in the second part of the game with the team that’s trailing outscoring them. That team that losing may not win the game but they may win the second half. Finding which team is going to give more effort in the 2nd half normally will net you a winner. Finally, lines for the second-half are made and posted very quickly. That’s to your advantage too.
As the season gets closer to the end and teams get run down their defenses tend to get more lax. Look for a game where a run and gun team may be going up against a club that loves to play defense but may just be tired. Also, this is a time to really consider the over in the over/under, as a tired defense tends to be less effective. Finally, look for teams that are out of contention a phoning it in. All of these letdowns could put cash in your pocket.
Consider the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Effect. This is the team that cannot be beat at home and cannot win on the road. They exist and you should bet on them when at home and also bet against them when on the road until the NBA oddsmakers make a home/road dichotomy adjustment.
Finally, it’s a good idea to use a professional NBA handicapper and to follow his advice. These guys are the pros who know all about the pros and who have the inside story on games, players and organizations. For a small amount of cash, you can really get a nice cushion from going with a professional handicapping service.
Use these NBA betting tips to make money and temper your choices throughout the season. Be on the lookout for the team that is prime for picking and for the situation that favors you as an NBA handicapper. Remember that although the players are professionals, they are also human and can have off nights and bad games. Wagering on the NBA is a daily process during which the league is constantly changing and evolving.
Online sports betting can be an incredibly fun and profitable activity – either adding an extra layer of excitement to the games or padding your bankroll. It can also be intimidating though, particularly for beginners. That’s why we have put together a few tips and tricks to get you started.
At first glance the world of online sports betting can be confusing at best. Sportsbooks show lists of numbers with plus and minus signs, other players speak using phrases and words you’ve never heard of, and, depending on how much you know about the game, there might be a lot about the teams that you simply don’t know yet. You need to arm yourself with as much knowledge about the game as possible because winning can be somewhat challenging – even for experienced players. If you think that just blindly picking last season’s champions or your favorite team as a winning selection is a recipe for success, think again.
Playing to Win
Before even getting into what to look at for picking the best teams to place your bet on, we need to make sure that we have a clear idea of our goals when we’re playing to win. What we are talking about here is preparing you to make picks that will give you a higher statistical chance of winning over simply logging into your account and just picking your favorite teams or randomly making a selection.
Betting just for the excitement and fun is fine too though, and you should bet however you want to, but betting to win takes a lot more effort and can be even more enjoyable. Becoming an experienced and successful sports better is not an easy task though, it requires a well thought out and intelligent strategies coupled with keeping yourself informed and up to date on the teams and their statistics.
So, if you’re looking at getting into online sports betting simply for the fun and the rush of it then by all means jump in, because it’s fast and it waits for no man. But if you are hoping to become a winner and go from beginner to expert in a few easy steps, then you’ve come to the right place.
Educate Yourself
The more you know about what you are betting on, the better your chances of spotting a winning strategy and pick. While you might be an avid fan of a sport and know everything about your favorite team, you’d do well to have that same level of knowledge of all the teams that are competing across all leagues. Knowing when a bad team, who are typically an underdog, have a tendency to beat a team who are typically favorites could have serious value when placing your bets. This is where a lot of the effort that goes into becoming a winner is put in. Studying players and teams and their match histories is how you learn to spot trends and potential upsets. Absorb everything you possibly can and stay as up to date as possible with all the latest news and information relevant to the sport.
One massive area of information that you should be paying attention to when picking the best teams is personnel moves and roster changes. This strategy covers offseason, preseason and in-season moves. Staying up to date with this information will give you an edge in your online betting. Did a team hire a new head coach? If so, is he a good or a bad coach? Did a team lose their star player to a free agency? How does that effect a team’s new roster? Was there a key injury that could impact future games for a team? These are all important questions to be able to answer about the teams you are following, and the more you know about each team and their players, the more confident you will be able to be when making your selections when betting on your favourite sport.
The next thing is to associate with winners. There are plenty of great sports betters who are playing constantly, and they have made all the mistakes that you might make and have learned from the process – they were also beginners once upon a time. Strike up conversation and pick their brains. They will not likely give up any of their secrets or methods, but they may offer a bit of guidance and a nudge in the right direction if you ask for it.
Specialising in One Sport
This is particularly good for those who are new to online betting. Narrowing your focus on what sport you are betting on can give you an edge in your betting by since you won’t have to research as much about teams and their game history.
Keeping up with all the information on professional cricket and football teams, not to mention the hundreds of club or amateur teams, can be incredibly overwhelming. Even the oddsmakers know that it isn’t possible to win at everything, so go with what you know best and study as much as you can about every player on every team so you can be as confident as possible when making your selections.
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Pick Value Over Winners
Sports Betting Winners
This probably doesn’t make much sense the first time you read it, but this is a crucial part of online betting to profit. This concept is one that is easy to miss for players who are new to online betting and think that a high percentage of wins over losses means that you’re guaranteed to be making money. The truth is that you can have a winning record with more wins than losses, placing the same amount of money on each bet, and still be losing money. You can also have a losing record with fewer wins than losses, placing the same amount of money on each bet, and be making money. The key to this concept is that all bets don’t pay out the same winnings or risk the same losses.
Let’s use an example: If you make four bets that are all on a (-500) favorite for £100 each and you win three out of the four bets, that then means that you have won £20 for each of the winning bets, but you lost £100 for the last losing bet. So, despite having a winning betting record, you have actually lost £40. So constantly betting on favorites can make for a good-looking win/loss ratio, but in order to make money you should be focusing on your return on investment. So keep in mind that the amount you are profiting or losing when betting is much more important than your record.
This doesn’t mean that you shouldn’t bet on favorites or that it is impossible to make money by doing so, the trick is to bet so that you have the highest statistical chance of making money.
How and Where Do I Bet?
A world of online sports betting is just a click away. Simply visit our sports betting page, sign up and you’re good to go. At Grosvenor Casinos there are plenty of promotions to take advantage of, as well as the best fixed odds and live online betting for all of the biggest games.
We’re here to help you keep it fun – remember to set your deposit limit. Click here for more details on the safer gambling tools available including reality checks and the ability to take a break from your gaming.
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