Live Betting Guide
Guide to Successful Live Bets Predictions Live betting predictions vary from one sportsbook to the next. However, these predictions are mostly calculated based on live betting statistics as well as algorithms. Most predictions usually highlight the expected home wins, draws and visitor’s wins. If you’re new to the game, we’ll walk you through what to expect when you’re live betting on tennis. Different Types of Live Bets: Moneylines and Prop Bets. The main types of bets you’ll see during live betting are a variety of moneyline bets: to win the match, to win the set and to win the game. This allows you to bet on who will win the match overall, who will win the current set and who will win the game the. Live Betting Guide Live Betting, also called ‘in-play’ or ‘in-running’, is defined as the act of placing wagers on an event, match, or race while it is still in progress. Guide to Live Betting, In-Play and In-Game Betting Once upon a time in the not too distant past, a gambler’s only betting option was to make a wager and watch the game until the end to see if the bet won or lost. Those times, much like typewriters, cassette tapes,.
We’ve all heard it a million times before. This is the greatest thing ever!
This is the best thing since sliced bread! Too often we hear these claims only
to find out that the referenced “great thing” is really just a reboot of
something old or not that exciting. Today is different, though. We can
CONFIDENTLY say that live betting is, in fact, the latest and greatest when it
comes to advancements in sports betting!
Live betting offers players the ultimate experience in entertainment,
betting flexibility, and money making opportunities. Available mainly online due
to its highly technical nature, live betting allows players to become light
years more immersed in the action with thousands of new betting options. If
you’ve never heard of the concept before or are looking to learn more, sit back
and buckle up because we are going to walk you through every aspect of live
betting. By the end of this article, you will be an equipped expert ready to get
in on the action and hopefully prove your knowledge and make some money.
Want to read about the growing popularity? Check out this
article from ESPN on the subject.
What Is Live Betting?
Historically, the only time that you were able to make bets on a game were
before the game started. Once the action was underway, you were locked into the
bets you’ve made, and that was the end of your betting until the next game.
Sportsbooks realized though that they could make a much better experience for
bettors if they developed a system to allow players to make additional wagers
during the game based on how things were going. Welcome to live betting!
Live betting, sometimes called in-game betting or betting in running, is the
ability for bettors to make additional wagers AFTER the game has already
started.
Sometimes these wagers are offered between quarters or periods, and in
some cases, they are offered after every single play or drive. Basically, you
are able to bet on a multitude of different things at any point during the game.
The number of different betting types and the frequency at which they change is
all dependent on the technological capabilities of where you are betting.
Live sportsbooks and casinos will have the fewest and sometimes no options
for live betting as it is more difficult for them technologically speaking to
keep up with the action. Online sportsbooks and casinos will have the most
options and the most variety of betting options as they have the technological
resources to keep up with the games and handle all the changing action. The joy
of this technology is that it makes everything easier on you the bettor. You
also don’t ever run the risk of your bet changing before you are able to get it
in because you never have to wait. We will discuss the differences between the
betting options later and discuss the pros and cons of each.
Types of Live Bets
The types of live bets offered are going to vary greatly depending on the
sport and depending on where you are betting. As we discussed earlier, it takes
a great deal of manpower and technology for a sportsbook to run live betting
operations. They have to set new lines in real time and don’t have days or weeks
to get prepared like they do for normal bets. For all of these reasons, the
types of bets offered are going to vary. Let’s take a look at some of the more
common types.
Traditional Bets
The same bets that were available before the start of the competition are
also going to be available after the event starts, except the odds are going to
change in real-time to depict what has happened in the game. For example, let’s
say you are live betting on a football game. At the beginning of the game, the
Dallas Cowboys are favored to win at -200. When the game starts, let’s say their
quarterback breaks his leg on the first play and the other team immediately
scores a touchdown. Obviously, the Cowboys are not as big of a favorite anymore
and are actually probably underdogs. They are already down a score, and their
star quarterback is out of the game.
With live odds, this will be
reflected, and you can then make a more reasonable wager if you think the
Cowboys are still going to win. The odds might change to +150 or something like
that giving you a much better price to bet the Cowboys. If you had bet $100
before the game, you would get $50 for a Cowboys win. If you took the in-game
bet and the Cowboys win with their backup, you would get $150. You would get
three times as much as the sportsbook now thinks the Cowboys are going to lose
based on what is happening in the game.
You’ll have your standard “who will win bets,” and you’ll also have your
other bets like your over/under (totals) and such.
Prop Bets
All of your prop bets will also be available for in-game wagering if the
sportsbook or casino has the technology to keep them up to speed. These include
your for fun prop bets as well as your skill based prop bets like how many
touchdowns or goals a player will have or how many field goals a kicker will
make. You can typically find a lot of good value with these bets if you think a
player is a slow starter or is not getting the ball for a reason that is about
to change.
For example, let’s say you take the prop bet that Rob Gronkowski is going to
score over 1.5 touchdowns in a game. Let’s say Gronk is kept to zero catches and
zero touchdowns through the first half. It now looks a lot less likely that he
is going to make it to over 1.5 touchdowns, so the odds of that happening are
going to go through the roof. This means that if you take this bet at halftime
and win, you are going to get an extremely high payout. Remember that the higher
payouts almost always mean a bet that is less likely to occur. You’ll see later
that at times this is less true with in-game wagering than it is with
traditional wagers that are placed before the game.
Parlays
In-game wagering sometimes gives you the option of turning your single bets
into parlays if you want to. Let’s say you bet on a trend that you think is
going to happen and you think it’s going to continue to happen. You could add an
additional bet onto your original after the game has started to try and
capitalize on your correct prediction. Many sportsbooks will also let you create
brand new parlays with in-game wagering which is the ultimate rush.
Benefits of Live Betting
The reason we’re so excited about live sports betting is that there are so
many great benefits and reasons to play that didn’t exist before. A lot of the
benefits are similar to those you get from traditional wagers but are amplified
with this new style. Let’s take a look at some of the most popular reasons that
so many people are getting involved and loving live sports betting.
The Odds
Technically, the odds on all bets are supposed to always be correct, or
accurate to what you are betting on. The sportsbooks spend lots of time and
money hiring professionals or setting up computer systems to help them set the
perfect odds on a game. If they happen to set a line incorrectly, they stand to
lose a lot of money if bettors can jump on it before they catch it. This becomes
fairly easy and straightforward for the sportsbook when they have weeks and days
to prepare and research their lines ahead of time.
This luxury goes out the window when it comes to live sports betting. The
sportsbook is required to change odds and make predictions in real-time, and
they don’t have time to second guess themselves because they have to stay up to
pace with the game.
There are two ways that a
sportsbook might set in-game odds. The first is through a team of “brains,” or
smart bettors that have the task of setting lines. These guys and gals are the
best in the business and rarely mess up. The second way they do this is through
complex computer systems that take all the available data into account and spit
out new lines and odds in real time.
The problem for the sportsbook is that both of these systems are not perfect,
especially in a time crunch. Human error is inevitable which could result in
odds that are too far skewed one way. Computers are only really able to analyze
quantitative data and are not able to analyze qualitative data. If those are new
terms to you, quantitative data is data that has a numerical value with it,
something that can be counted. This would be like how many points the team
scored, how much time is left, how many fouls players have etc. The other is
qualitative data. This would be things that can’t be measured like team morale,
signs of injury, etc. Computers are really not capable of catching these types
of qualitative things.
The human errors and technological implications mean that it is much more
likely that you are going to find an incorrect line put out that you can jump
on.
It is not a guaranteed win or anything like that,
but it is a payout that does not match up with the likelihood of that event
happening. For example, here’s an insanely exaggerated example. Let’s say Mike
Tyson is fighting a baby penguin. The oddsmakers put out a line of Mike Tyson +
200 to win. If we saw this line, we would put every penny we had in the world on
this bet. Clearly, the sportsbook made a mistake thinking that Mike Tyson would
be an underdog against a cuddly penguin in a boxing match. Yes, this is an
exaggerated example, but milder versions of this do occur, and they occur more
often in live game betting.
Let’s look at a more realistic example here. Let’s say there is a prop bet
that Julian Edelman will catch over 5.5 passes and you’ll get paid -110 if that
happens. Let’s say Edelman comes out and catches two passes in the first drive.
The odds are going to shift to something like this for in-game betting.
Odds at start of game
Edelman to catch over 5.5 passes -110
Edelman to catch under 5.5 passes -110
After his killer first drive, the odds might shift to this.
Edelman to catch over 5.5 passes -310
Edelman to catch under 5.5 passes +290
Obviously, the sports book thinks it is way more likely that Edelman is going
to get the over on the passes here and is now going to pay way less if he does
it but way more if somehow he does not do it. Technically, these odds are going
to be close to correct based on a lot of data and computer calculations.
But we’re going to add something new to the mix. At the end of the last play,
Edelman bashed his knee and hobbled to the sidelines off camera. The computer
and the brains did not pick up on this, but you did. Clearly, there is a chance
that he is hurt and will never get his over 5.5 passes as he is favored to do
now. In the old days before in-game betting, this would have meant nothing to
you. In the new days, though, you would slam a bet down as fast as you could on
Edelman to catch under 5.5 passes. If you bet $100 on this, you would stand to
possibly win $290 in profit just for being more observant than a computer.
Does this mean that you are guaranteed to win your bet? Of course, it
doesn’t. There’s still the chance he’s just a little banged up and comes right
back in and gets 10 catches. But, you are getting the opportunity to win more
than you really should be offered if the computer had seen his potential injury.
If the sportsbook catches wind of his potential injury, they might immediately
move the odds back to -110 on the under 5.5, but your bet is already locked in.
Realistically, you should be getting the -110 price and only get a profit of
$90.90, but because of your quick action, you now stand to win an additional
$200 on the same bet.
If you wanted to be fancy, you could even then bet $100 on the under (against
yourself) after the bets are adjusted to reflect the potential injury which
would pay $90.91. You’re now GUARANTEED to almost break even with a freeroll to
make some money.
If Edelman gets over 5.5 catches, you win $290.00 in profit from your bet
after the two catches but before they noticed the injury that you noticed.
Subtract the $100 you bet against yourself after they discovered the injury and
you get a total profit of $190.00.
Live Betting Strategy
If Edelman gets under 5.5 catches, you win $90.91 on the bet you put after
they discovered the injury. Subtract the $100 you bet after the two catches but
before they noticed the injury that you noticed, and you get a total loss of
$9.09.
Basically, the worst you can do is lose $9, but you have a free shot to win
$190! That to me sounds like a winning situation all thanks to live betting!
People Are Easily Influenced
This one goes hand in hand with the odds and trying to get lines that are
incorrect. Most of the time the sportsbook will put out a line that is correct.
However, you have to remember that lines are capable of moving based on how the
public is betting. We said that the brains and computers putting out the lines
were smart, but we did not say that most of the betting public is smart. The
betting public has a tendency to bet way too much with their hearts and not
enough with their head. If enough of the betting public bets incorrectly one
way, the line will move and the odds will get much better on the other side of
the bet. Let’s take a look at an example that will make this clearer.
Let’s say you are watching a football game between Team A and Team B. Here
are the moneyline odds at the beginning of the game.
Live Betting Guide 2019
- Team A -110
- Team B +105
Basically, the sportsbook thinks these two teams are pretty neck and neck,
and it’s a bit of a toss-up. The first half goes on, and Team A is driving the
ball expertly and look on fire, but every time they get down into the red zone,
there are some fluky penalties or uncharacteristic fumbles that get returned for
touchdowns. The half ends with this score and these odds:
- Team A 3
- Team B 14
- Team A +125
- Team B -110
Now, the betting public might incorrectly look at this and assume that Team B
is crushing Team A. Unfortunately, they are only basing that on the score and
haven’t been watching the game that closely. Team B is also the fan favorite, so
many of the fans want them to win which also influences betting.
In reality, Team A played much better the first half and should be able to
get through the flukes and come out with a strong second half. The betting
public doesn’t see this though and they slam their money down on Team B. Before
the halftime break is over, the line moves to this.
- Team A +200
- Team B -190
This is an amazing time for you to put a bet on Team A. The betting public
bet with their hearts and tunnel vision and moved the line significantly giving
much higher payouts on Team A. Remember that the sportsbook wants the same
amount of bets on each side of a game, so they will make the odds more enticing
on one side if there are too many bets coming in on the other side.
Again, this does not mean that you are guaranteed to win this bet. Team A’s
awful luck can easily continue, and all the silly bettors can win their bet.
But, what you have done here is gotten better odds and a higher potential payout
than you should on something happening. Being able to do that over and over is
the key to being a long-term successful winning sports bettor.
Entertainment
If you love high-paced action and love constantly looking for edges during a
game, live betting was made for you. For those that haven’t had the privilege of
experiencing it yet, it truly is one of the most fun times you can have sports
betting. Sure, there is plenty of action on traditional sports bets, and
for some people, they would prefer to get the bets out of the way and then kick
back and enjoy the game. For the rest of us that love the fast pace, it doesn’t
get any better than in-game betting. We could tell you over and over again how
much fun it is, but your best course of action is just to give it a shot
yourself and see what you think.
Benefits Wrap-Up
As you can hopefully see now, this new trend in sports betting is an
incredible step forward for the industry. Not only are you able to exploit
sportsbook mistakes and exploit bettors who aren’t as sharp as you, but you’re
able to do it all while having an absolute blast.
Live Betting Strategy
Since most everyone reading this is probably fairly new to in-game betting,
we don’t want to send you out into the wilderness without some strategy tips and
advice to get you pointed in the right direction. Ultimately, with the vastly
different types of bets and changing odds, you will be making a lot of split
second decisions and will have to develop your own winning strategy. These tips
and tricks will help you in the right direction and help you to avoid some
common pitfalls and not be labeled a sucker.
Start With a Pre-Game Bet
Most experienced in-game bettors like to start off with a pre-game bet as a
starting point. This allows you to make sure that you have done your pre-game
homework and are in a good state of mind to get in on the action of this game.
This is of course never required, but it does give you a lot more options going
into the game. In-game betting is great for salvaging bets that are going the
wrong way or pressing on bets that are going the right way. This sort of
flexibility becomes a lot easier when you have a pre-game bet to start from.
Again, this is not necessary but a good starting point.
Know Your Limits
The fast-pace of in-game betting can make it pretty easy to get carried away
if you are not on top of things. When you are making multiple bets in real time,
you need to make sure that you keep track of just how much action you have on
the line. The best way to do this for most people is just keeping a little tally
of how much you have bet in the game, and you should be just fine. If you are a
more experienced bettor who has a lot of bets going at once, you might want to
look into setting up an Excel spreadsheet on your computer to keep track of
anything.
Thankfully, the online sportsbooks will handle everything for you, and a lot
of them have great interfaces to keep track of all of your bets at once. If you
are someone who is going to be placing a lot of in-game wagers, we definitely
recommend picking a site that has a great user interface set up. This is true of
most of the sites that offer in-game betting, but just check and make sure
before you get started.
Make Sure You Are Watching the Entire Game
Surprisingly, this is one that action junkies and new bettors don’t always
follow. If you are going to be live betting on a game, make sure that you are
watching the entire game. You never know when you might catch something small
that will give you an edge over the competition. Remember our Julian Edelman
example from earlier? If you have the game off or are watching 10 games at once,
you will never catch things like that and will miss out on some potentially easy
money.
where the momentum is going.
If you are going to bet in-game strictly on the
numbers, you will never be able to get an edge over the computer or identify bad
lines that move based on heart betting from the public. You’ll be basically
going about it the same way they are setting the lines, and they will always be
better at it than you.
Most people fall into the trap of not watching the complete game because they
have too much action or bets going elsewhere. If you plan to bet on a lot of
games, we recommend placing your bets on those games and then choosing one or
two at most games to live bet on. Put that game on your TV to focus on and then
just follow the scores on the bottom of your screen for your other bets if you
want to.
The idea of live betting is figuring out ways and angles to get an edge. This
is near impossible if you aren’t totally immersed in the game and actually
paying attention. Don’t worry, we aren’t saying not to have a ton of fun and
enjoy the games. We’re just saying that in-game betting does require some
attention and TLC (tender loving care) if you plan on being profitable long-term
at it.
Use Live Betting for Close Pre-Game Bets
A lot of times we will find ourselves trying to decide if we want to make a
bet before the game or not. The line is usually just about where we want it to
be, but maybe not quite there. In-game betting can help you to get the line that
you want if there happens to be a quick swing early in the game. For example,
let’s say that you want to bet on the Dallas Cowboys to win, but the pre-game
odds are only -200, and that is just not a good enough price for you.
What you can do is wait for the game to start and see if you can snag a
better price early. If the other team gets the ball and scores quickly, that
-200 could quickly change to a number much more in your favor. There is the
possibility that things start out fast for the Cowboys, and you are never able
to get a better line, but you aren’t losing any money in this scenario because
you haven’t placed any bets yet. There is also the possibility that the opening
drive looks so dominant that you no longer want to place a bet on the Cowboys.
The point here is that the in-game betting gives you some flexibility and a
second chance to make a bet at a potentially more favorable line or save
yourself from making a poor bet.
Remember that the odds are going to move to what the brains think is going to
happen. The reason we are restating this is we want to make sure you realize
that by waiting, the sportsbook is not just magically giving you a better price
because they’re nice like that. They are doing it because it has become less
likely that the Cowboys will win the game. Something will have to occur for them
to move that line in that direction. If you think the first drive or whatever
causes the line move is negligent, then take your better price and be a happy
camper 🙂
Capitalize on Bad Lines
We discussed this extensively in the odds section above. If you happened to
skip through it, we highly recommend going back and reading it as it actually
gets fairly heavy into strategy. In recap, we were drawing attention to the fact
that with pre-game, traditional bets, the sportsbook has an infinite amount of
time to set their lines and research to make sure they are perfect. They lose
this luxury with in-game betting and are much more likely to make a mistake or
set a line that does not take everything happening into account. There is just
too much going on and too many intangibles for them or a computer to keep up.
This will result in lines that you can jump on to make some easy money.
We also talked about the fact that the betting public is typically not that
smart and likes to bet more with their hearts than their heads. When they do
this with in-game betting, the lines can move quickly and can create some
favorable situations for you to pounce on. Watch for situations where you think
the lines and the bets are too dependent on minor or emotional factors. If you
can uncover these situations, you can put yourself in some great spots to make a
lot of money.
It’s important to reiterate that just because you find a bad line, it does
not mean that you are guaranteed to win that bet. It just means that you have
put yourself in a favorable situation where you have the chance to win a higher
payout than you should for whatever the bet is. For example, you could find a
bet that should be +200 for a team to win, but it is actually listed at +600.
This means that if you bet $100, you stand to make $400 MORE than you really
should. That being said, you are still an underdog and still supposed to lose
mathematically. Putting yourself in enough of these situations is the key to
being a long-term successful bettor.
Know the Interface
This should have been number one on our list, but let’s say we just saved the
best for last. Live betting interfaces can sometimes look a little different
than your traditional odds charts you are used to. They are constantly updating,
and the ever changing numbers can seem a little daunting at first. The best
advice we have is to take some time to learn the interface and see where
everything and all the options are BEFORE you start betting.
Don’t wait until right before the game to start learning how to make in-game
bets and what all the different options are. You are bound to make a mistake or
not be able to find something you need to take advantage of a hunch before it’s
too late. The numbers and betting lines change rapidly with in-game betting, so
you have to be on the ball to be able to get the bets in that you want.
Don’t Start Here
If you are absolutely brand new to sports betting, live betting is probably
not the place you want to start. We recommend starting with some basic
traditional bets and learning the ins and outs of those first. Don’t worry, live
betting will not be going anywhere anytime soon, so you have nothing to worry
about. It will be here for you when you are ready to give it a whirl. Trying to
push into this too early before you understand the basic types of bets and how
they work and payout will just cause headaches and mistakes that will make you
have a bad experience. It’s not that it is that complex, but crawl before you
walk my friend.
The Wrap-Up
As you can see, live betting is an incredibly fun style of betting that is
only possible thanks to several incredible technological advancements. If you’re
a sharp better who knows how to analyze games and feel the momentum, you have
the potential to be very successful at live betting. Make sure you’ve fully read
through this guide and fully understand all the different aspects of live
betting and how to do it. Also, make sure you read through the strategy section
so that you can attack this as an intelligent bettor poised to make some serious
cash. The sportsbooks should fear you now.
Live Betting, also known as in-play or in-running, is the ability to wager on a match while it’s still in progress. At sports betting sites it’s possible to wager not only on who will win the match, but also unique propositions. Using tennis betting as an example, we can bet much more than match winner. We can wager set winner, result of each point, next game to deuce, next game score, and current set race to five games. We can wager other propositions too. These days most bookies offer in-play wagering. But, for games offered, markets, betting odds, and software, there are market leaders.
Best Live Betting Sites
Which betting sites to use for live betting depends on the sport wagered. For football (soccer) Asian Bookies are the best. For example, www.188bet.com (no USA residents) offers European odds 1.94 / 1.94 base on Asian handicap. In other words, they offer by far the best odds. At 188Bet there is in-play odds on more than 4500 football matches each month. These span all the popular leagues as well as smaller leagues from all over the globe.
Best for American Sports
The sportsbook with by far the best live betting interface and most markets for American football, hockey, baseball and basketball is www.bookmaker.eu (USA residents welcome). Competitors claim to offer live betting but have archaic interfaces and limited markets. For example, 5Dimes requires browser refreshes during commercials. Most often they offer only point spreads and totals.
At Bookmaker.eu the in-play interface is state-of-the-art. It features point spreads, moneylines, totals and many propositions. The odds update in real time with no need to refresh. These guys are also creative. As an avid fan of live betting NFL football, I use them week in and week out. Each week I see at least one proposition offered that I’ve never seen before. In short, Bookmaker.eu is best for live betting American sports and there isn’t a competitor in close sight.
Best for Players Outside the United States
www.bet365.com (No USA Residents) is where I do most of my own in-play wagering. I often check their competitors Ladbrokes, William Hill and Paddy Power at 5PM GMT on a Monday night. There I am met with very few odds. I am lucky to find 1-3 football matches available for in-play. There might also be a single match for each of cricket, volleyball and hockey available. At Bet365 I often find 8 football matches, 5 tennis matches, 5 basketball matches. There is generally matches for cricket, floorball, handball, volleyball and hockey too. Their coverage expands all over the world.
At Bet365 I can even watch matches live streamed from their website. For games not available I still see the score and what is happening update in real time. The number of odds on unique propositions also impresses me. This is for sure the website that keeps me the most entertained.
I do use other websites besides Bet365. For the best odds on major markets I turn to Asian Bookies and betting exchanges. www.188bet.com, and other Asian bookies, have by far the best odds on in-play football matches. Betting exchanges are also great for live-trading. They have a lot of liquidity on markets involving football, cricket, golf and tennis. They are also great for future betting outright championships for all leagues. I discuss that in the next section of this article.
Live Trading
Another unique way to wager matches in progress is live trading on betting exchanges. Unfortunately, this is only relevant to players living outside the United States. There is not enough liquidity at betting exchanges accepting US residents. For those in other countries this is an interesting way to live bet.
www.betfair.com (no USA players) is the world’s largest peer to peer betting exchange. At this website players wager against each other, rather than against a bookmaker. Betfair makes their profit by charging bettors a commission off their net-win. This has a lot of advantages with in-play betting.
Most punters have experienced watching a match and seeing it is not going as expected. Had we bet on that match at Betfair, we can trade off it only for a small loss. This is because the hedge is vig-free on an exchange. We only pay commission on our wins.
Using an exchange has a small learning curve. Good news is that I have an article on How Betfair Works that explains the bulk of the details. Their website has a lot of liquidity on football, cricket, tennis, and golf. It is also good for betting outright winner in various leagues. Betfair is a website all players should consider getting familiar with. It is good for prematch betting too, but live betting exchanges is a beast of its own.
Live Betting Warning
When betting in-play it is vital you only do so with reputable bookmakers and even so, there are still risks. This 2+2 thread shows Heritage Sports unethically freerolling a player on in-play golf bets. Examples like this go way back. This YouTube video shows that years ago Centrebet.com cheated a client for €2500 over a live bet.
Often a betting site cancels a winning wager by claiming “past post”. Meaning the punter wagered after the known result. Or, they wagered with advanced knowledge of a goal, injury, or similar occurrence. Of course, past posts do happen and the bookmaker has every right to void these bets. But, they should do so immediately. Less reputable bookmakers wait until after a match to claim past post giving themselves a freeroll. If the bet wins it is void, if it loses it stands. This is why it’s VERY important to in-play bet only with reputable bookmakers.
Live Betting Strategy
Some bettors mistake live betting as a novelty reserved for recreational punters. The real professionals could write entire books on in-play betting strategy. For now I give only a few tips on how to use live betting to your advantage.
Slow Starts: Let’s say you spot a football club who in all their recent English Premier League victories started slow but then finished strong. If they are the favourite in a match and you’d like the bet them, why do so prematch? If you wait for the odds to drop via in-play wagering, you could make the same wager at better odds.
Fast Starts: This applies less to soccer, and more to American football (NFL). Each season there are teams that have all the stats and a great Pythagorean record that find ways to lose games. The 2018 Pittsburgh Steelers were an example of this. By all statistical accounts, they were an elite offense with an above average defense. Their struggle all season was the fourth quarter. So much so, that five of their losses on the season involved blown fourth quarter leads. If you suspect this was more than luck, you could bet against them when they lead late in the third quarter.
Those were only two examples. Some talented sports bettors derive the majority of their profits from in-running wagers. You see, in-play odds are set by a computer using advanced mathematical algorithms. While the odds generated are tough to beat over the long haul using random bets, you can exploit them.
Looking at Human Factors
Sports are not only mathematical. There are human factors involved. A system generating the odds can’t always account for these. A computer doesn’t see how teams appear on the field. It doesn’t notice composure, motivation, and body language. It might not see sideline personal packages for American football, or subs ready to check in. There are some chances to get an edge.
Live Bet Predictions
If you do decide to bet in play, be sure to be responsible. Too many punters let their emotions get the best of them. This is especially true when there is only seconds to decide on a bet. Prematch wagers we can analyse hours in advanced. Live bets can be gut decisions. Don’t get too excited and don’t bet over your limits chasing a loss.
- Asian Bookies
- US Betting Sites
- UK Bookmakers
- NBA Betting
- F1 Betting Guide
- MLB Betting Guide